|Table of Contents|

 QIN Ting-rong CHEN Wei-jiong ZENG Xiang-kun.Risk management modeling and its application in maritime safety[J].Journal of Marine Science and Application,2008,(4):0.
Click and Copy

Risk management modeling and its application in maritime safety


Risk management modeling and its application in maritime safety
QIN Ting-rong CHEN Wei-jiong ZENG Xiang-kun
QIN Ting-rong CHEN Wei-jiong ZENG Xiang-kun
QIN Ting-rong(School of Merchant Marine,Shanghai Maritime University,Shanghai 200135,China) CHEN Wei-jiong(School of Merchant Marine,Shanghai Maritime University,Shanghai 200135,China;Library of Shanghai Maritime University,Shanghai Maritime University,Shanghai 200135,China) ZENG Xiang-kun(Information Engineering College,Shanghai Maritime University,Shanghai 200135,China)
risk flowchart safety assessment GMO model MMEM theory QRA
Quantified risk assessment (QRA) needs mathematicization of risk theory. However,attention has been paid almost exclusively to applications of assessment methods,which has led to neglect of research into fundamental theories,such as the relationships among risk,safety,danger,and so on. In order to solve this problem,as a first step,fundamental theoretical relationships about risk and risk management were analyzed for this paper in the light of mathematics,and then illustrated with some charts. Second,man-machine-environment-management (MMEM) theory was introduced into risk theory to analyze some properties of risk. On the basis of this,a three-dimensional model of risk management was established that includes: a goal dimension;a management dimension;an operation dimension. This goal management operation (GMO) model was explained and then emphasis was laid on the discussion of the risk flowchart (operation dimension),which lays the groundwork for further study of risk management and qualitative and quantitative assessment. Next,the relationship between Formal Safety Assessment (FSA) and Risk Management was researched. This revealed that the FSA method,which the international maritime organization (IMO) is actively spreading,comes from Risk Management theory. Finally,conclusion were made about how to apply this risk management method to concrete fields efficiently and conveniently,as well as areas where further research is required.


  • SONG Mingzhe Modern risk management 2003
  • LU Na Statistical issues in coherent risk management 2004
  • XUN Jinliang Risk management 2003
  • IMO Guidelines for formal safety assessment (FSA) for use in the IMO rule-making process 2007
  • CHEN Weijiong Structure of the basic elements of safety science 1998
  • TRIESCHMANN J S.GUSTAVSON S G.HOYT R E Risk management and insurance 2003
  • WEIHRICH H.KOONTZ H Management-A global perspective 2005
  • DUBRIN A J Essentials of management 2004
  • HEAD G L.HORN S Essentials of risk management 1997
  • QIN Tingrong.CHEN Weijiong.HAO Yuguo Formal safety assessment (FSA) methodology [期刊论文] -China Safety Science Journal2005(04)
  • ROSQVISTA T.TUOMINEN R Qualification of formal safety assessment:an exploratory study 2004(42)
  • VENTIKOS N P.PSARAFTIS H N Spill accident modeling:a critical survey of the event-decision network in the context of IMO’s formal safety assessment 2004
  • HU Shenping.FANG Quangen.XIA Haibo Formal safety assessment based on relative risks model in ship navigation 2007
  • Memo

    Last Update: 2010-06-29