|Table of Contents|

Citation:
　Ivana Jovanovi?,?a?lar Karatu?,Maja Per?i?,et al.Combined Fault Tree Analysis and Bayesian Network for Reliability Assessment of Marine Internal Combustion Engine[J].Journal of Marine Science and Application,2026,(1):239-258.[doi:10.1007/s11804-025-00692-7]
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Combined Fault Tree Analysis and Bayesian Network for Reliability Assessment of Marine Internal Combustion Engine

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Title:
Combined Fault Tree Analysis and Bayesian Network for Reliability Assessment of Marine Internal Combustion Engine
Author(s):
Ivana Jovanovic1;  ?aglar Karatug2;  Maja Percic1;  Nikola Vladimir1
Affilations:
Author(s):
Ivana Jovanovi?1;  ?a?lar Karatu?2;  Maja Per?i?1;  Nikola Vladimir1
1. University of Zagreb, Faculty of Mechanical Engineering and Naval Architecture, University of Zagreb, Ivana Lu?i?a 5, 10002, Zagreb, Croatia;
2. Department of Marine Engineering, Maritime Faculty, Istanbul Technical University, 34940, Tuzla, Istanbul, Turkey
Keywords:
Fault tree analysis; Bayesian network; Reliability; Redundancy; Internal combustion engine
分类号:
-
DOI:
10.1007/s11804-025-00692-7
Abstract:
This paper investigates the reliability of internal marine combustion engines using an integrated approach that combines Fault Tree Analysis (FTA) and Bayesian Networks (BN). FTA provides a structured, top-down method for identifying critical failure modes and their root causes, while BN introduces flexibility in probabilistic reasoning, enabling dynamic updates based on new evidence. This dual methodology overcomes the limitations of static FTA models, offering a comprehensive framework for system reliability analysis. Critical failures, including External Leakage (ELU), Failure to Start (FTS), and Overheating (OHE), were identified as key risks. By incorporating redundancy into high-risk components such as pumps and batteries, the likelihood of these failures was significantly reduced. For instance, redundant pumps reduced the probability of ELU by 31.88%, while additional batteries decreased the occurrence of FTS by 36.45%. The results underscore the practical benefits of combining FTA and BN for enhancing system reliability, particularly in maritime applications where operational safety and efficiency are critical. This research provides valuable insights for maintenance planning and highlights the importance of redundancy in critical systems, especially as the industry transitions toward more autonomous vessels.

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Memo

Memo:
Received date:2024-9-28;Accepted date:2025-2-23。<br>Foundation item:This research was supported by Istanbul Technical University (Project No. 45698). Ivana Jovanovi&#263;, PhD student, is supported through the “Young Researchers’ Career Development Project-training of doctoral students” of the Croatian Science Foundation.<br>Corresponding author:Ivana Jovanovi&#263;,Email:E-mail:ivana.jovanovic@fsb.unizg.hr
Last Update: 2026-03-10